Abstract

Zack Cooper discusses his book, Tides of Fortune: The Rise and Decline of Great Militaries, which examines how the United States and China are changing their militaries and what this means for dynamics in Asia. Drawing on a decade of research and on his experience at the White House and the Pentagon, the book outlines a novel explanation for how militaries change as they rise and decline. Cooper will trace the paths of six great powers of the twentieth century, explaining how national leaders adjusted their defense objectives, strategies, and investments in response to perceived shifts in relative power. The common pattern these militaries followed shed new light on both China’s recent military modernisation and America’s potential responses.

About the Speaker

Zack Cooper is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he studies US strategy in Asia, including alliance dynamics and US-China competition. He also teaches at Princeton University and serves as chair of the board of the Open Technology Fund. He is currently writing a book for Yale University Press that explains how militaries change during power shifts.

Before joining AEI, Dr. Cooper was the senior fellow for Asian security at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). He previously worked as codirector of the Alliance for Securing Democracy and senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States and research fellow at the Centre for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. He also served as assistant to the deputy national security adviser for combating terrorism at the National Security Council and as a special assistant to the principal deputy under secretary of defence for policy at the Department of Defence.

Dr. Cooper has published research reports on a number of aspects of US strategy and alliances in Asia. He has also co-authored several books and written articles for academic journals and popular press, including International Security, Security Studies, Foreign Affairs, the New York Times, the Washington Post, and the Wall Street Journal, among other outlets. Dr. Cooper graduated from Princeton University with a PhD and an MA in security studies and an MPA in international relations. He received a BA in public policy from Stanford University.