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Dr Alexander Raymond Arifianto

Senior Fellow
Coordinator of Indonesia Programme, IDSS
Education
BA (Ripon College); MA (Brandeis University); MA (Johns Hopkins University); PhD (Arizona State University)
: [email protected]
: +65 6908 1430
: IDSS
Political Islam in Indonesia during Prabowo Subianto’s Presidency
Policy Reports

Dr Alexander Raymond Arifianto

Senior Fellow
Coordinator of Indonesia Programme, IDSS
Education
BA (Ripon College); MA (Brandeis University); MA (Johns Hopkins University); PhD (Arizona State University)
: [email protected]
: +65 6908 1430
: IDSS

Following links control the content below

  • Biography
  • Areas of Expertise
  • Professional Activities
  • RSIS Publications
  • External Publications
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Biography

Alexander R. Arifianto is Senior Fellow and Coordinator of the Indonesia Programme at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) at Nanyang Technological University (NTU). Previously, he was a Visiting Fellow with ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute and a Post-doctoral Fellow at the Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame (Indiana, United States of America). He earned a PhD in political science from Arizona State University in 2012. His research interests are contemporary Indonesian politics, political Islam, and Indonesian foreign policy. Dr Arifianto has co-edited two books: Rising Islamic Conservatism in Indonesia: Islamic Groups and Identity Politics (with Leonard C Sebastian and Syafiq Hasyim) (Routledge, 2021) and The 2018 and 2019 Indonesian Elections: Identity Politics and Regional Perspectives (with Leonard C. Sebastian) (Routledge, 2021). His articles have appeared in refereed journals such as Religion, State, and Society, Asia Policy, Trans-National and Regional Studies of Southeast Asia (TRaNS), Asian Security, Asian Politics and Policy, and Journal of Southeast Asian Economies (formerly ASEAN Economic Bulletin).

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Areas of Expertise

  • Indonesian Politics
  • Comparative Politics of Southeast Asia
  • Islamic Politics in Indonesia
  • Political Economy of Regional Autonomy and Local Level Governance
  • Civil Society Organizations and Social Movements

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Professional Activities

Phi Beta Kappa, Ripon College, 1999.

Freeport McMoran Fellowship for Indonesian Studies, Southeast Asian Studies Programme, SAIS-Johns Hopkins University, 2005-07.

Freeman Foundation Fellowship for Southeast Asian Studies, Southeast Asian Studies Programme, SAIS-Johns Hopkins University, 2005-07.

Hardt Graduate Fellowship in Religion, Conflict, and Peace Studies, Center for the Study of Religion and Conflict, Arizona State University, 2010-11.

Association of Asian Studies, Member, 2007-present.

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RSIS Publications

    Working Papers

    • WP300 | Analysing Transformative Local Leadership in Indonesia

      12 December, 2016

    Policy Reports

    • Political Islam in Indonesia during Prabowo Subianto’s Presidency

      05 August, 2025

    • Jokowi's Legacies and the Incoming Prabowo Administration: Change or Continuity?

      28 June, 2024

    RSIS Commentary Series

    • Jokowi's Latest Reshuffle: Stabilising the Ruling Coalition?

      16 June, 2022

    • NU’s 2021 National Congress: Contestation Within

      02 December, 2021

    • Indonesia’s New Lockdown: Jokowi’s Legacy?

      13 July, 2021

    • Jokowi’s Sixth Reshuffle: Securing His Legacy?

      30 April, 2021

    • All Politics is Local: Retired Officers in Regional Elections

      17 March, 2021

    • Indonesia's New Parties: Evolving Conservative Landscape?

      19 November, 2020

    • Pancasila Guidance Bill: Tweaking Indonesia’s Ideology?

      08 July, 2020

    • Indonesia’s Islamic Charities: Plugging Gaps in Economic Relief

      19 June, 2020

    • Covid-19 Pandemic in Indonesia: Government Response and Politics

      02 April, 2020

    • The New Indonesian Parliament: Who Won and What It Means

      07 May, 2019

    • After the Big Fight: Results and Implications

      22 April, 2019

    • State of Play: Who Will Win in Largest Single-Day Elections?

      12 April, 2019

    • East Java: Deadheat in a Battleground Province

      27 March, 2019

    • Prabowo Subianto: Reluctant Yet Strong Contender

      14 January, 2019

    • Joko Widodo: Vulnerable Despite Strong Incumbency

      11 January, 2019

    • CO18123 | The Jockeying Gathers Pace: Fluidity Of Candidates and Parties

      20 July, 2018

    • CO18110 | Regional Setback For Jokowi?

      28 June, 2018

    • CO18107 | West Kalimantan: Identity Politics at the Forefront

      26 June, 2018

    • CO18098 | The East Java Gubernatorial Race: Dead Heat but Non-Controversial

      18 June, 2018

    • CO18069 | Islam and Indonesia’s Presidency Race: A Defining Role?

      18 April, 2018

    • CO18064 | Pilkada Serentak: Role of Identity Politics

      04 April, 2018

    • CO18032 | Indonesia’s Ideological Convergence: Emerging Trend in Islamic Regulations?

      27 February, 2018

    • CO17228 | Islamic Defenders Front: An Ideological Evolution?

      04 December, 2017

    • CO17213 | Islam with Progress: Muhammadiyah and Moderation in Islam

      10 November, 2017

    • CO17136 | Indonesia Ban on Civil Society Bodies: Spot On or Overreach?

      18 July, 2017

    • CO17099 | Banning Hizbut Tahrir Indonesia: Freedom or Security?

      18 May, 2017

    • CO17018 | Politics, Plurality and Inter-Group Relations in Indonesia - Islam Nusantara & Its Critics: The Rise of NU’s Young Clerics

      23 January, 2017

    • CO16289 | Addressing Religious Intolerance in Indonesia

      28 November, 2016

    • CO16194 Jokowi’s Second Cabinet Reshuffle: Implications for Indonesian Politics

      28 July, 2016

    • CO16114 | Islam Nusantara: NU’s Bid to Promote “Moderate Indonesian Islam”

      17 May, 2016

    • CO15273 | Simultaneous Local Elections in Indonesia: More Power for Incumbents?

      17 December, 2015

    • CO15230 | The 2015 Muhammadiyah Muktamar: Narrow Win for Moderates

      28 October, 2015

    • CO15189 | The 2015 NU Muktamar: Further Conservative Turn in Indonesian Islam?

      02 September, 2015

    IDSS Papers

    • IP25066 | Indonesia after Trump’s Tariffs: Diversifying Its Multilateral Partnerships

      13 June, 2025

    • IP25002 | From 'High' to 'Normal' Politics: Muhammadiyah and the Prabowo Presidency

      09 January, 2025

    • IP24104 | PKS Electoral Setbacks in the Indonesian Regional Elections: Pragmatism at the Cost of Losing Core Constituencies

      12 December, 2024

    • IP24096 | Indonesian Foreign Policy under Trump 2.0: Between Non-alignment and Realignment

      14 November, 2024

    • IP24089 | Prabowo's Inclusive Cabinet: Accommodating Indonesia's Islamic Factions for Political Cohesion

      30 October, 2024

    • IP24085 | Indonesia-China Relations: Recent Developments and Prospects under the Incoming Prabowo Administration

      15 October, 2024

    • IP24073 | Indonesia-US Relationship under Prabowo: Time for a Revival

      17 September, 2024

    • IP24072 | Understanding PKB – PBNU Conflict: Power Struggle and Identity Crisis

      10 September, 2024

    • IP23090 | The 2024 Indonesian Presidential Election: Heading Towards a One Round Election?

      21 December, 2023

    • IP23062 | Indonesian Presidential Election: The Nahdlatul Ulama Factor

      07 September, 2023

    • IP23059 | Indonesian Presidential Election: The Race Is Heating Up

      18 August, 2023

    • IP23050 | From an Underdog to a Frontrunner: Understanding Prabowo’s Polls Surge

      05 July, 2023

    • IP22075 | The 2024 Indonesian Presidential Election: A Growing Momentum for Anies Baswedan?

      07 December, 2022

    • IP22072 | The 2024 Indonesian Presidential Election: Islam as a Decisive Factor?

      28 November, 2022

    • IP22003 | Towards “Humanitarian Islam”: New Nahdlatul Ulama Chairman and the Global Initiative to Promote Religious Moderation

      26 January, 2022

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External Publications

Journal Articles

  • “The State of Political Islam in Indonesia: The Historical Antecedent and Future Prospects” in Asia Policy, 15, 4, 2020, pp. 111-133
  • “Special Editor’s Introduction: TraNS Special Section on ‘Growing Religious Intolerance in Indonesia’” (with Leonard C. Sebastian) in TRaNS: Trans-National and Regional Studies of Southeast Asia, 8, 2020, 2020. 1-5
  • “Rising Islamism and the Struggle for Islamic Authority in Indonesia” in TRaNS: Trans-National and Regional Studies of Southeast Asia, 8, 1, 2020, 37-50
  • “Rising Islamism and the Struggle for Islamic Authority in Indonesia” in TRaNS: Trans-Regional and -National Studies of Southeast Asia, 2019
  • Fionna, Ulla and Alexander R. Arifianto. “Getting to Know the Contestants of the 2014 Indonesian Parliamentary Elections,” in Ulla Fionna (ed.). ISEAS Perspective: Watching the Indonesian Elections 2014, (Singapore: ISEAS Publishing, 2015), pp. 41-53.
  • Arifianto, Alexander R. “Explaining the Cause of Muslim-Christian Conflicts in Indonesia: Tracing the Origins of Kristenisasi and Islamisasi,” Islam and Christian-Muslim Relations, 20 (1) (Winter 2009): 73-89
  • Arifianto, Alexander R. “The Securitization of International Labor Migration: The Case of Malaysia and Indonesia,” Asian Politics and Policy, 1 (4) (Fall 2009): 613-630.

Edited Books / Special Issues

  • The 2018 and 2019 Indonesian Elections: Identity Politics and Regional Perspectives (with Leonard C. Sebastian), Eds. Abingdon: Routledge, 2020
  • Rising Islamic Conservatism in Indonesia: Islamic Groups and Identity Politics (with Leonard C. Sebastian, and Syafiq Hasyim), Eds. Abingdon: Routledge, 2020

Chapters in Edited Books

  • “Moderate Islamic Organisations and Contestation Over Political Theology: The Responses by Nahdlatul Ulama and Muhammadiyah Towards Islamism in Indonesia” in Gabriel Facal, Elsa Lafaye de Micheaux, and Astrid Norén-Nilsson (Eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Political Norms in Southeast Asia. Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan, 2024, 337-355
  • Arifianto, Alexander R. “Unpacking the Results of the 2014 Indonesian Legislative Elections,” in Ulla Fionna (ed.). ISEAS Perspective: Watching the Indonesian Elections 2014, (Singapore: ISEAS Publishing, 2015), pp. 62-74.
  • Arifianto, Alexander R. “Indonesian Islamic Parties after the 2014 Elections: Divided and Self-Centered,” in Ulla Fionna (ed.). ISEAS Perspective: Watching the Indonesian Elections 2014, (Singapore: ISEAS Publishing, 2015), pp. 123-136.
  • Arifianto, Alexander R., Ulla Fionna, and Gwenael Njoto-Feillard. “A Snapshot of the Campaigning in Indonesia’s 2014 Legislative Elections,” in Ulla Fionna (ed.). ISEAS Perspective: Watching the Indonesian Elections 2014, (Singapore: ISEAS Publishing, 2015), pp. 54-61.
  • Sambodo, Maxensius Tri and Alexander R. Arifianto. “Analyzing the Economic Platforms in the Indonesian Presidential Election,” in Ulla Fionna (ed.). ISEAS Perspective: Watching the Indonesian Elections 2014, (Singapore: ISEAS Publishing, 2015), pp. 114-122.
  • Sumarto, Sudarno, Asep Suryahadi, and Alexander R. Arifianto, “Governance and Poverty Reduction: Evidence from Newly Decentralized Indonesia.” in Yasutami Shimomura (ed.), The Role of Governance in Asia, (Singapore: ISEAS Publishing, 2003), pp. 27-64.

Op-Eds

  • “Clerics to Coal Miners: The Decline of Indonesia’s Islamic Civil Society”, New Mandala, 4 September 2024
  • “From polarisation to opportunism: organised Islam and the 2024 elections” (with Aisah Putri Budiarti), New Mandala, 22 January 2024
  • “Values-based or transactional? Comparing the foreign policies of Indonesia’s presidential candidates”, Indonesia at Melbourne, 20 November 2023
  • “Jokowi Takes Advantage of Turmoil within Golkar”, East Asia Forum, 12 September 2023
  • “2024 Election Shaping Up as a Four-Horse Race as Elite Manouvering Intensifies”, Indonesia at Melbourne, 9 August 2022
  • “Nahdlatul Ulama’s New Chair Faces a Difficult Choice: Political Neutrality or Patronage”, Indonesia at Melbourne, 18 January 2022
  • “Indonesia’s Coronavirus Crisis Will Define President Joko Widodo’s Legacy as Cases Surge”, South China Morning Post, 14 July 2021
  • “US-Indonesia Relations Needs a Reboot” (with Yohanes Sulaiman), East Asia Forum, 28 June 2021
  • “Indonesian Ulema Council Edges Closer to the Centre of Power”, East Asia Forum, 9 December 2020
  • “Religious Power Brokers and Growing Intolerance in Indonesia”, Religion and Global Society: A London School of Economics (LSE) Blog, 8 July 2020
  • “Jokowi wins second term as Indonesian president, but the Islamist challenge remains”, ASPI, The Strategist, 22 May 2019
  • “Is Islam an increasingly polarizing political cleavage in Indonesia? What the recent election shows”, Brookings Institute (Order from Chaos), 25 April 2019
  • Alexander R. Arifianto. “What Explains Rising Islamism in Indonesia?” IAPS Dialogue, Institute of Asia and Pacific Studies, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom. Available at: https://iapsdialogue.org/2017/08/01/what-explains-rising-islamism-in-indonesia/ (1 August 2018).

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