Back
About RSIS
Introduction
Building the Foundations
Welcome Message
Board of Governors
Staff Profiles
Executive Deputy Chairman’s Office
Dean’s Office
Management
Distinguished Fellows
Faculty and Research
Associate Research Fellows, Senior Analysts and Research Analysts
Visiting Fellows
Adjunct Fellows
Administrative Staff
Honours and Awards for RSIS Staff and Students
RSIS Endowment Fund
Endowed Professorships
Career Opportunities
Getting to RSIS
Research
Research Centres
Centre for Multilateralism Studies (CMS)
Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies (NTS Centre)
Centre of Excellence for National Security
Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies (IDSS)
International Centre for Political Violence and Terrorism Research (ICPVTR)
Research Programmes
National Security Studies Programme (NSSP)
Social Cohesion Research Programme (SCRP)
Studies in Inter-Religious Relations in Plural Societies (SRP) Programme
Other Research
Future Issues and Technology Cluster
Research@RSIS
Science and Technology Studies Programme (STSP) (2017-2020)
Graduate Education
Graduate Programmes Office
Exchange Partners and Programmes
How to Apply
Financial Assistance
Meet the Admissions Team: Information Sessions and other events
RSIS Alumni
Outreach
Global Networks
About Global Networks
RSIS Alumni
Executive Education
About Executive Education
SRP Executive Programme
Terrorism Analyst Training Course (TATC)
International Programmes
About International Programmes
Asia-Pacific Programme for Senior Military Officers (APPSMO)
Asia-Pacific Programme for Senior National Security Officers (APPSNO)
International Conference on Cohesive Societies (ICCS)
International Strategy Forum-Asia (ISF-Asia)
Publications
RSIS Publications
Annual Reviews
Books
Bulletins and Newsletters
RSIS Commentary Series
Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses
Commemorative / Event Reports
Future Issues
IDSS Papers
Interreligious Relations
Monographs
NTS Insight
Policy Reports
Working Papers
External Publications
Authored Books
Journal Articles
Edited Books
Chapters in Edited Books
Policy Reports
Working Papers
Op-Eds
Glossary of Abbreviations
Policy-relevant Articles Given RSIS Award
RSIS Publications for the Year
External Publications for the Year
Media
Cohesive Societies
Sustainable Security
Other Resource Pages
News Releases
Speeches
Video/Audio Channel
External Podcasts
Events
Contact Us
S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies Think Tank and Graduate School Ponder The Improbable Since 1966
Nanyang Technological University Nanyang Technological University
  • About RSIS
      IntroductionBuilding the FoundationsWelcome MessageBoard of GovernorsHonours and Awards for RSIS Staff and StudentsRSIS Endowment FundEndowed ProfessorshipsCareer OpportunitiesGetting to RSIS
      Staff ProfilesExecutive Deputy Chairman’s OfficeDean’s OfficeManagementDistinguished FellowsFaculty and ResearchAssociate Research Fellows, Senior Analysts and Research AnalystsVisiting FellowsAdjunct FellowsAdministrative Staff
  • Research
      Research CentresCentre for Multilateralism Studies (CMS)Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies (NTS Centre)Centre of Excellence for National SecurityInstitute of Defence and Strategic Studies (IDSS)International Centre for Political Violence and Terrorism Research (ICPVTR)
      Research ProgrammesNational Security Studies Programme (NSSP)Social Cohesion Research Programme (SCRP)Studies in Inter-Religious Relations in Plural Societies (SRP) Programme
      Other ResearchFuture Issues and Technology ClusterResearch@RSISScience and Technology Studies Programme (STSP) (2017-2020)
  • Graduate Education
      Graduate Programmes OfficeExchange Partners and ProgrammesHow to ApplyFinancial AssistanceMeet the Admissions Team: Information Sessions and other eventsRSIS Alumni
  • Outreach
      Global NetworksAbout Global NetworksRSIS Alumni
      Executive EducationAbout Executive EducationSRP Executive ProgrammeTerrorism Analyst Training Course (TATC)
      International ProgrammesAbout International ProgrammesAsia-Pacific Programme for Senior Military Officers (APPSMO)Asia-Pacific Programme for Senior National Security Officers (APPSNO)International Conference on Cohesive Societies (ICCS)International Strategy Forum-Asia (ISF-Asia)
  • Publications
      RSIS PublicationsAnnual ReviewsBooksBulletins and NewslettersRSIS Commentary SeriesCounter Terrorist Trends and AnalysesCommemorative / Event ReportsFuture IssuesIDSS PapersInterreligious RelationsMonographsNTS InsightPolicy ReportsWorking Papers
      External PublicationsAuthored BooksJournal ArticlesEdited BooksChapters in Edited BooksPolicy ReportsWorking PapersOp-Eds
      Glossary of AbbreviationsPolicy-relevant Articles Given RSIS AwardRSIS Publications for the YearExternal Publications for the Year
  • Media
      Cohesive SocietiesSustainable SecurityOther Resource PagesNews ReleasesSpeechesVideo/Audio ChannelExternal Podcasts
  • Events
  • Contact Us
    • Connect with Us

      rsis.ntu
      rsis_ntu
      rsisntu
      rsisvideocast
      school/rsis-ntu
      rsis.sg
      rsissg
      RSIS
      RSS
      Subscribe to RSIS Publications
      Subscribe to RSIS Events

      Getting to RSIS

      Nanyang Technological University
      Block S4, Level B3,
      50 Nanyang Avenue,
      Singapore 639798

      Click here for direction to RSIS

      Get in Touch

    Connect
    Search
    • RSIS
    • Publication
    • RSIS Publications
    • IP23047 | Is the End of Time Nearing? Ramifications of Apocalyptic Beliefs in Indonesia
    • Annual Reviews
    • Books
    • Bulletins and Newsletters
    • RSIS Commentary Series
    • Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses
    • Commemorative / Event Reports
    • Future Issues
    • IDSS Papers
    • Interreligious Relations
    • Monographs
    • NTS Insight
    • Policy Reports
    • Working Papers

    IP23047 | Is the End of Time Nearing? Ramifications of Apocalyptic Beliefs in Indonesia
    Syed Huzaifah Bin Othman Alkaff, Sabariah Hussin

    22 June 2023

    download pdf


    Apocalyptic ideas, which tend to surface in times of crisis as people are forced to cope with unprecedented or disturbing events, have always been essential motivators for sociopolitical action. Understanding how ideas about the end of the world originate, circulate, and attain credibility and momentum has never been more important than now given the prevalence of catastrophic weather events and the COVID-19 pandemic. SYED HUZAIFAH BIN OTHMAN ALKAFF and SABARIAH HUSSIN examine the proliferation of apocalyptic thought in Indonesia.

     

     

     

    COMMENTARY

    Apocalyptic narratives are common to mainstream religious traditions such as Judaism, Christianity, Buddhism, and Islam, and often show up during moments of social and political turmoil as people attempt to deal with extraordinary or unsettling events.

    In the last half-century, there has been much scholarly discussion about the meaning of the term “apocalyptic”, with intense disagreement on many fundamental issues such as the origins of apocalyptic movements and the criteria for designating an ideology as apocalyptic.

    However, what is certain is that apocalyptic movements are gaining traction, especially in recent years, following extraordinary occurrences like the COVID-19 pandemic and other significant global catastrophes.

    IP23047
    Apocalyptic narratives have been on the rise with the recent weather catastrophes, wars and pandemics. Such views of the approaching end times, especially among the religious in Indonesia, may galvanise fear-mongering and violent manifestations in the country. Image from Unsplash.

    Apocalyptic Islamist Movements and Recent Global Occurrences

    Islamic millenarian expectations have revolved around hadiths that mention messianic and other end-of-time figures, such as Jesus, Imam al-Mahdi, Dajjal, and the tribe of Gog and Magog. Such expectations have been drawn from various natural and human-driven catastrophes, which are considered eschatological signs.

    Events such as the earthquakes in Indonesia in late November 2022 and in Turkey in February 2023, which together killed thousands, as well as other natural calamities such as the COVID-19 pandemic that began in 2020 and affected more than 764 million people, leading to at least 6.9 million deaths, have been cited by various Islamist groups in apocalyptic contexts.

    Arguments have also been made that occurrences caused by humans such as the Ukrainian war and the 2021 takeover of Afghanistan by the Taliban are eschatological signs. In the case of the Taliban, their restoration of Islamic law in Afghanistan is being portrayed by the apocalyptists as signs that the Taliban are the foretold army of al-Mahdi.

    History has been witness to a never-ending series of natural disasters, wars and conflicts as far back as our collective memory has recorded. However, in recent years, these events have triggered a surge of interest in the idea of apocalypticism. Social media has been awash with posts indicating that such occurrences are signs of the end of time. Some netizens, quoting religious scholars, have been sharing various hadiths warning that earthquakes – among other signs – would signal the approach of the final day.

    The Importance of Eschatological Ideas for Believers

    David Cook, writing in Contemporary Muslim Apocalyptic Literature, notes that there are two elements to apocalyptic thought: time and meaning. Time is crucial because of the uncertainty about one’s life and the consequent need to complete numerous tasks or obligations before the world ends. In the case of meaning, the apocalyptist looks for cosmic significance in everything, regardless of how tiny or random it is. The absolute conviction in the coming end gives the apocalyptist unparalleled energy and a sense of liberation.

    The sense of liberation and energy is critical, particularly in Southeast Asian societies, where believers in such ideas are often repressed and labelled as deviants. Hence, the opportunity to just hold such thoughts gives them a sense of achievement. A survey in 2012 by the Pew Research Center indicated that 62% of Malaysians, 57% of Thais and 23% of Indonesians expect the advent of the Mahdi in their lifetimes. In real numbers, those percentages would translate into a greater number of Indonesians subscribing to apocalyptic beliefs than Muslims elsewhere in the region.

    The Impact on Life in Indonesia

    Among Indonesian apocalyptists, the gratification gained through social media influence appears to be a significant motivator for spreading apocalyptic beliefs. There are innumerable instances where individuals have used eschatological narratives to gain followers online and offline. A simple Internet search for end-of-time preachers shows that several of them have at least half a million subscribers and several million views each. In the offline environment, these end-of-times preachers are increasingly being invited to speak at boarding schools (pesantrens) and mosques, and during various religious events. Some of these offline events are recorded and uploaded on social media.

    Some use such narratives to prepare their followers and students to face the end of time. One such person is a religious teacher referred to as the kiayi (religious scholar) of Ponpes Miftahul Falahil Mubtadiin, a boarding school in Malang. The kiayi has prophesied that the Dajjal (deceitful messiah) will appear in 2023. He has reminded his followers to adhere to the laborious preparations that he has prescribed for facing the end of time.

    Some preachers even claim to be the messiah themselves, declaring that they can influence natural calamities or tribulations. For instance, on 2 December 2022, viral news indicated that an Indonesian couple in Karawang claimed to be the Imam al-Mahdi and Ratu Adil (a messianic figure from Indonesian, specifically Javanese, folklore). The couple claimed that they could avert natural calamities or tribulations.

    Some others use eschatological narratives as a way of seeking salvation, as was the case in the Surabaya incidents of 2018, when three families engaged in almost simultaneous suicide bombings that killed several others. The families were so fearful that the end of time was nearing that they felt pressed to commit an amaliyah (an act of good deed) for salvation.

    Conclusion

    Following a long period when very little attention was paid to apocalypticism, apocalyptic narratives have become widespread across Southeast Asia over the past decade, fuelled largely by extreme weather and climate events and the pandemic. The concern for policymakers is not in the beliefs themselves but in the effect that such beliefs could have. What should be of particular concern is that such beliefs can have violent manifestations, as in the Surabaya case, and that some overzealous or unscrupulous persons have been exploiting the gullibility of others for their sacrilegious agendas.

     

    Syed Huzaifah Bin Othman ALKAFF is Associate Research Fellow with the Indonesia Programme at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS). Sabariah HUSSIN is an alumna of RSIS and Visiting Researcher at the International Institute of Islamic Thought and Civilization (ISTAC-IIUM), Malaysia. She is a PhD candidate at the Religion Department of Rice University, USA.

    Categories: IDSS Papers / Religion in Contemporary Society / Southeast Asia and ASEAN


    Apocalyptic ideas, which tend to surface in times of crisis as people are forced to cope with unprecedented or disturbing events, have always been essential motivators for sociopolitical action. Understanding how ideas about the end of the world originate, circulate, and attain credibility and momentum has never been more important than now given the prevalence of catastrophic weather events and the COVID-19 pandemic. SYED HUZAIFAH BIN OTHMAN ALKAFF and SABARIAH HUSSIN examine the proliferation of apocalyptic thought in Indonesia.

     

     

     

    COMMENTARY

    Apocalyptic narratives are common to mainstream religious traditions such as Judaism, Christianity, Buddhism, and Islam, and often show up during moments of social and political turmoil as people attempt to deal with extraordinary or unsettling events.

    In the last half-century, there has been much scholarly discussion about the meaning of the term “apocalyptic”, with intense disagreement on many fundamental issues such as the origins of apocalyptic movements and the criteria for designating an ideology as apocalyptic.

    However, what is certain is that apocalyptic movements are gaining traction, especially in recent years, following extraordinary occurrences like the COVID-19 pandemic and other significant global catastrophes.

    IP23047
    Apocalyptic narratives have been on the rise with the recent weather catastrophes, wars and pandemics. Such views of the approaching end times, especially among the religious in Indonesia, may galvanise fear-mongering and violent manifestations in the country. Image from Unsplash.

    Apocalyptic Islamist Movements and Recent Global Occurrences

    Islamic millenarian expectations have revolved around hadiths that mention messianic and other end-of-time figures, such as Jesus, Imam al-Mahdi, Dajjal, and the tribe of Gog and Magog. Such expectations have been drawn from various natural and human-driven catastrophes, which are considered eschatological signs.

    Events such as the earthquakes in Indonesia in late November 2022 and in Turkey in February 2023, which together killed thousands, as well as other natural calamities such as the COVID-19 pandemic that began in 2020 and affected more than 764 million people, leading to at least 6.9 million deaths, have been cited by various Islamist groups in apocalyptic contexts.

    Arguments have also been made that occurrences caused by humans such as the Ukrainian war and the 2021 takeover of Afghanistan by the Taliban are eschatological signs. In the case of the Taliban, their restoration of Islamic law in Afghanistan is being portrayed by the apocalyptists as signs that the Taliban are the foretold army of al-Mahdi.

    History has been witness to a never-ending series of natural disasters, wars and conflicts as far back as our collective memory has recorded. However, in recent years, these events have triggered a surge of interest in the idea of apocalypticism. Social media has been awash with posts indicating that such occurrences are signs of the end of time. Some netizens, quoting religious scholars, have been sharing various hadiths warning that earthquakes – among other signs – would signal the approach of the final day.

    The Importance of Eschatological Ideas for Believers

    David Cook, writing in Contemporary Muslim Apocalyptic Literature, notes that there are two elements to apocalyptic thought: time and meaning. Time is crucial because of the uncertainty about one’s life and the consequent need to complete numerous tasks or obligations before the world ends. In the case of meaning, the apocalyptist looks for cosmic significance in everything, regardless of how tiny or random it is. The absolute conviction in the coming end gives the apocalyptist unparalleled energy and a sense of liberation.

    The sense of liberation and energy is critical, particularly in Southeast Asian societies, where believers in such ideas are often repressed and labelled as deviants. Hence, the opportunity to just hold such thoughts gives them a sense of achievement. A survey in 2012 by the Pew Research Center indicated that 62% of Malaysians, 57% of Thais and 23% of Indonesians expect the advent of the Mahdi in their lifetimes. In real numbers, those percentages would translate into a greater number of Indonesians subscribing to apocalyptic beliefs than Muslims elsewhere in the region.

    The Impact on Life in Indonesia

    Among Indonesian apocalyptists, the gratification gained through social media influence appears to be a significant motivator for spreading apocalyptic beliefs. There are innumerable instances where individuals have used eschatological narratives to gain followers online and offline. A simple Internet search for end-of-time preachers shows that several of them have at least half a million subscribers and several million views each. In the offline environment, these end-of-times preachers are increasingly being invited to speak at boarding schools (pesantrens) and mosques, and during various religious events. Some of these offline events are recorded and uploaded on social media.

    Some use such narratives to prepare their followers and students to face the end of time. One such person is a religious teacher referred to as the kiayi (religious scholar) of Ponpes Miftahul Falahil Mubtadiin, a boarding school in Malang. The kiayi has prophesied that the Dajjal (deceitful messiah) will appear in 2023. He has reminded his followers to adhere to the laborious preparations that he has prescribed for facing the end of time.

    Some preachers even claim to be the messiah themselves, declaring that they can influence natural calamities or tribulations. For instance, on 2 December 2022, viral news indicated that an Indonesian couple in Karawang claimed to be the Imam al-Mahdi and Ratu Adil (a messianic figure from Indonesian, specifically Javanese, folklore). The couple claimed that they could avert natural calamities or tribulations.

    Some others use eschatological narratives as a way of seeking salvation, as was the case in the Surabaya incidents of 2018, when three families engaged in almost simultaneous suicide bombings that killed several others. The families were so fearful that the end of time was nearing that they felt pressed to commit an amaliyah (an act of good deed) for salvation.

    Conclusion

    Following a long period when very little attention was paid to apocalypticism, apocalyptic narratives have become widespread across Southeast Asia over the past decade, fuelled largely by extreme weather and climate events and the pandemic. The concern for policymakers is not in the beliefs themselves but in the effect that such beliefs could have. What should be of particular concern is that such beliefs can have violent manifestations, as in the Surabaya case, and that some overzealous or unscrupulous persons have been exploiting the gullibility of others for their sacrilegious agendas.

     

    Syed Huzaifah Bin Othman ALKAFF is Associate Research Fellow with the Indonesia Programme at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS). Sabariah HUSSIN is an alumna of RSIS and Visiting Researcher at the International Institute of Islamic Thought and Civilization (ISTAC-IIUM), Malaysia. She is a PhD candidate at the Religion Department of Rice University, USA.

    Categories: IDSS Papers / Religion in Contemporary Society

    Popular Links

    About RSISResearch ProgrammesGraduate EducationPublicationsEventsAdmissionsCareersVideo/Audio ChannelRSIS Intranet

    Connect with Us

    rsis.ntu
    rsis_ntu
    rsisntu
    rsisvideocast
    school/rsis-ntu
    rsis.sg
    rsissg
    RSIS
    RSS
    Subscribe to RSIS Publications
    Subscribe to RSIS Events

    Getting to RSIS

    Nanyang Technological University
    Block S4, Level B3,
    50 Nanyang Avenue,
    Singapore 639798

    Click here for direction to RSIS

    Get in Touch

      Copyright © S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies. All rights reserved.
      Privacy Statement / Terms of Use
      Help us improve

        Rate your experience with this website
        123456
        Not satisfiedVery satisfied
        What did you like?
        0/255 characters
        What can be improved?
        0/255 characters
        Your email
        Please enter a valid email.
        Thank you for your feedback.
        This site uses cookies to offer you a better browsing experience. By continuing, you are agreeing to the use of cookies on your device as described in our privacy policy. Learn more
        OK
        Latest Book
        more info